My predicted ratings

My predicted ratings's icon

Created by kvib.

Favorited 1 time, disliked 0 times, added to 0 watchlists.

I applied machine learning to my movie ratings at Letterboxd to predict rating scores for movies on some of the main official lists on ICM.

For input features I used ratings, likes, view counts and some minor metadata like release year, run time and genres from the following sites:
* ICheckMovies
* IMDb
* Letterboxd
* Rotten Tomatoes
* Metacritic

The used algorithm was linear XGBoost, I imputed any missing ratings (especially for older movies on Metacritic).

The most important features turned out to be:
icm_favs 80.30
letterboxd_rating 35.15
letterboxd_likes 34.59
imdb_rating 7.35
rt_critic_score 7.17
icm_checks 6.59
metacritic_user_score 5.69
metascore 5.39
rt_critic_count 5.35
runtime 5.22
year 5.13
rt_audience_score 4.09
icm_lists 3.74
imdb_votes 3.13
letterboxd_watches 3.04
letterboxd_lists 2.84
genre_romance 0.89
genre_crime 0.78
genre_fantasy 0.49
genre_thriller 0.36
genre_war 0.31
genre_adventure 0.30
genre_scifi 0.28
genre_mystery 0.17
genre_biography 0.11
genre_history 0.10
genre_animation 0.10
genre_documentary 0.10
genre_horror 0.06
genre_music 0.01
genre_western 0.01
genre_short 0.00

The predicted rating value was more than 4.5 for the top 70, 4 for the top 398, 3.5 for the top 587 and 3 for the top 670.

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  1. 1 -

    Arrival

    2016, in 11 top lists Check
  2. 58 -

    Dangal

    2016, in 6 top lists Check
  3. 60 -

    Hunt for the Wilderpeople

    2016, in 3 top lists Check
  4. 69 -

    Manchester by the Sea

    2016, in 7 top lists Check
  5. 104 -

    Moonlight

    2016, in 13 top lists Check
  6. 148 -

    Kubo and the Two Strings

    2016, in 0 top lists Check
  7. 177 -

    Kimi no na wa.

    2016 — a.k.a. Your Name., in 12 top lists Check
  8. 220 -

    Zootopia

    2016, in 6 top lists Check
  9. 309 -

    Lion

    2016, in 2 top lists Check
  10. 344 -

    Hacksaw Ridge

    2016, in 6 top lists Check
  11. 409 -

    The Nice Guys

    2016, in 1 top list Check
  12. 547 -

    10 Cloverfield Lane

    2016, in 2 top lists Check
  13. 578 -

    Deadpool

    2016, in 2 top lists Check
  14. 601 -

    Captain America: Civil War

    2016, in 2 top lists Check
  15. 660 -

    Rogue One

    2016 — a.k.a. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, in 2 top lists Check
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Last updated on Jun 12, 2017 by kvib; source