My predicted ratings

My predicted ratings's icon

Created by kvib.

Favorited 1 time, disliked 0 times, added to 0 watchlists.

I applied machine learning to my movie ratings at Letterboxd to predict rating scores for movies on some of the main official lists on ICM.

For input features I used ratings, likes, view counts and some minor metadata like release year, run time and genres from the following sites:
* ICheckMovies
* IMDb
* Letterboxd
* Rotten Tomatoes
* Metacritic

The used algorithm was linear XGBoost, I imputed any missing ratings (especially for older movies on Metacritic).

The most important features turned out to be:
icm_favs 80.30
letterboxd_rating 35.15
letterboxd_likes 34.59
imdb_rating 7.35
rt_critic_score 7.17
icm_checks 6.59
metacritic_user_score 5.69
metascore 5.39
rt_critic_count 5.35
runtime 5.22
year 5.13
rt_audience_score 4.09
icm_lists 3.74
imdb_votes 3.13
letterboxd_watches 3.04
letterboxd_lists 2.84
genre_romance 0.89
genre_crime 0.78
genre_fantasy 0.49
genre_thriller 0.36
genre_war 0.31
genre_adventure 0.30
genre_scifi 0.28
genre_mystery 0.17
genre_biography 0.11
genre_history 0.10
genre_animation 0.10
genre_documentary 0.10
genre_horror 0.06
genre_music 0.01
genre_western 0.01
genre_short 0.00

The predicted rating value was more than 4.5 for the top 70, 4 for the top 398, 3.5 for the top 587 and 3 for the top 670.

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  1. 644 -

    Avatar

    2009, in 14 top lists Check
  2. 730 -

    Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

    2008, in 5 top lists Check
  3. 731 -

    Spider-Man 3

    2007, in 3 top lists Check
  4. 733 -

    Transformers

    2007, in 4 top lists Check
  5. 748 -

    Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace

    1999, in 5 top lists Check
  6. 765 -

    Fantastic Four

    2005, in 3 top lists Check
  7. 705 -

    Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones

    2002, in 4 top lists Check
  8. 725 -

    300

    2006, in 6 top lists Check
  9. 757 -

    The Matrix Revolutions

    2003, in 4 top lists Check
  10. 746 -

    The Day After Tomorrow

    2004, in 3 top lists Check
  11. 754 -

    Hancock

    2008, in 3 top lists Check
  12. 723 -

    Mr. & Mrs. Smith

    2005, in 3 top lists Check
  13. 729 -

    X-Men: The Last Stand

    2006, in 3 top lists Check
  14. 724 -

    Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

    2007, in 3 top lists Check
  15. 770 -

    Armageddon

    1998, in 4 top lists Check
  16. 677 -

    Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith

    2005, in 6 top lists Check
  17. 21 -

    District 9

    2009, in 10 top lists Check
  18. 762 -

    Charlie's Angels

    2000, in 2 top lists Check
  19. 706 -

    The Matrix Reloaded

    2003, in 5 top lists Check
  20. 590 -

    Inception

    2010, in 21 top lists Check
  21. 751 -

    Men in Black II

    2002, in 3 top lists Check
  22. 764 -

    Independence Day

    1996, in 8 top lists Check
  23. 469 -

    Scott Pilgrim vs. the World

    2010, in 6 top lists Check
  24. 755 -

    Night at the Museum

    2006, in 3 top lists Check
  25. 722 -

    Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

    2006, in 4 top lists Check
  26. 594 -

    V for Vendetta

    2005, in 10 top lists Check
  27. 624 -

    The Dark Knight

    2008, in 27 top lists Check
  28. 582 -

    Kill Bill: Vol. 1

    2003, in 18 top lists Check
  29. 772 -

    The Mummy Returns

    2001, in 3 top lists Check
  30. 620 -

    Kick-Ass

    2010, in 1 top list Check
  31. 627 -

    The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring

    2001, in 31 top lists Check
  32. 698 -

    King Kong

    2005, in 6 top lists Check
  33. 563 -

    The Avengers

    2012, in 7 top lists Check
  34. 560 -

    The Matrix

    1999, in 30 top lists Check
  35. 462 -

    Gladiator

    2000, in 25 top lists Check
  36. 656 -

    The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

    2003, in 29 top lists Check
  37. 686 -

    Iron Man 2

    2010, in 3 top lists Check
  38. 753 -

    National Treasure

    2004, in 3 top lists Check
  39. 636 -

    Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the...

    2003, in 13 top lists Check
  40. 769 -

    Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me

    1999, in 4 top lists Check
  41. 714 -

    Spider-Man 2

    2004, in 7 top lists Check
  42. 740 -

    I, Robot

    2004, in 3 top lists Check
  43. 756 -

    The Lost World: Jurassic Park

    1997, in 4 top lists Check
  44. 532 -

    The Dark Knight Rises

    2012, in 7 top lists Check
  45. 694 -

    Spider-Man

    2002, in 7 top lists Check
  46. 771 -

    The Mummy

    1999, in 4 top lists Check
  47. 681 -

    Sherlock Holmes

    2009, in 3 top lists Check
  48. 385 -

    Kill Bill: Vol. 2

    2004, in 9 top lists Check
  49. 571 -

    Star Wars

    1977, in 40 top lists Check
  50. 581 -

    Star Trek

    2009, in 4 top lists Check
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Last updated on Jun 12, 2017 by kvib; source