My predicted ratings

My predicted ratings's icon

Created by kvib.

Favorited 1 time, disliked 0 times, added to 0 watchlists.

I applied machine learning to my movie ratings at Letterboxd to predict rating scores for movies on some of the main official lists on ICM.

For input features I used ratings, likes, view counts and some minor metadata like release year, run time and genres from the following sites:
* ICheckMovies
* IMDb
* Letterboxd
* Rotten Tomatoes
* Metacritic

The used algorithm was linear XGBoost, I imputed any missing ratings (especially for older movies on Metacritic).

The most important features turned out to be:
icm_favs 80.30
letterboxd_rating 35.15
letterboxd_likes 34.59
imdb_rating 7.35
rt_critic_score 7.17
icm_checks 6.59
metacritic_user_score 5.69
metascore 5.39
rt_critic_count 5.35
runtime 5.22
year 5.13
rt_audience_score 4.09
icm_lists 3.74
imdb_votes 3.13
letterboxd_watches 3.04
letterboxd_lists 2.84
genre_romance 0.89
genre_crime 0.78
genre_fantasy 0.49
genre_thriller 0.36
genre_war 0.31
genre_adventure 0.30
genre_scifi 0.28
genre_mystery 0.17
genre_biography 0.11
genre_history 0.10
genre_animation 0.10
genre_documentary 0.10
genre_horror 0.06
genre_music 0.01
genre_western 0.01
genre_short 0.00

The predicted rating value was more than 4.5 for the top 70, 4 for the top 398, 3.5 for the top 587 and 3 for the top 670.

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  1. 624 -

    The Dark Knight

    2008, in 27 top lists Check
  2. 590 -

    Inception

    2010, in 21 top lists Check
  3. 560 -

    The Matrix

    1999, in 30 top lists Check
  4. 656 -

    The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

    2003, in 29 top lists Check
  5. 627 -

    The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring

    2001, in 31 top lists Check
  6. 571 -

    Star Wars

    1977, in 40 top lists Check
  7. 502 -

    Star Wars: Episode V - The Empire Strikes Back

    1980, in 25 top lists Check
  8. 594 -

    V for Vendetta

    2005, in 10 top lists Check
  9. 582 -

    Kill Bill: Vol. 1

    2003, in 18 top lists Check
  10. 462 -

    Gladiator

    2000, in 25 top lists Check
  11. 422 -

    Raiders of the Lost Ark

    1981 — a.k.a. Indiana Jones and the Raiders of the Lost Ark, in 29 top lists Check
  12. 237 -

    Saving Private Ryan

    1998, in 28 top lists Check
  13. 473 -

    Terminator 2: Judgment Day

    1991, in 27 top lists Check
  14. 579 -

    Batman Begins

    2005, in 11 top lists Check
  15. 647 -

    Star Wars: Episode VI - Return of the Jedi

    1983, in 18 top lists Check
  16. 21 -

    District 9

    2009, in 10 top lists Check
  17. 385 -

    Kill Bill: Vol. 2

    2004, in 9 top lists Check
  18. 469 -

    Scott Pilgrim vs. the World

    2010, in 6 top lists Check
  19. 680 -

    Die Hard

    1988, in 21 top lists Check
  20. 659 -

    The Incredibles

    2004, in 13 top lists Check
  21. 636 -

    Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the...

    2003, in 13 top lists Check
  22. 532 -

    The Dark Knight Rises

    2012, in 7 top lists Check
  23. 492 -

    Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade

    1989, in 16 top lists Check
  24. 606 -

    The Fifth Element

    1997, in 7 top lists Check
  25. 260 -

    Aliens

    1986, in 24 top lists Check
  26. 563 -

    The Avengers

    2012, in 7 top lists Check
  27. 644 -

    Avatar

    2009, in 14 top lists Check
  28. 641 -

    Iron Man

    2008, in 8 top lists Check
  29. 629 -

    The Terminator

    1984, in 24 top lists Check
  30. 110 -

    Shichinin no samurai

    1954 — a.k.a. Seven Samurai, in 36 top lists Check
  31. 620 -

    Kick-Ass

    2010, in 1 top list Check
  32. 92 -

    Mad Max: Fury Road

    2015, in 23 top lists Check
  33. 725 -

    300

    2006, in 6 top lists Check
  34. 581 -

    Star Trek

    2009, in 4 top lists Check
  35. 617 -

    Casino Royale

    2006, in 7 top lists Check
  36. 138 -

    Heat

    1995, in 23 top lists Check
  37. 284 -

    North by Northwest

    1959, in 30 top lists Check
  38. 681 -

    Sherlock Holmes

    2009, in 3 top lists Check
  39. 599 -

    The Bourne Ultimatum

    2007, in 9 top lists Check
  40. 586 -

    The Iron Giant

    1999, in 14 top lists Check
  41. 639 -

    Minority Report

    2002, in 8 top lists Check
  42. 603 -

    The Bourne Identity

    2002, in 5 top lists Check
  43. 394 -

    Akira

    1988, in 22 top lists Check
  44. 244 -

    Guardians of the Galaxy

    2014, in 3 top lists Check
  45. 638 -

    X: First Class

    2011 — a.k.a. X-Men: First Class, in 3 top lists Check
  46. 437 -

    Kiss Kiss Bang Bang

    2005, in 4 top lists Check
  47. 677 -

    Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith

    2005, in 6 top lists Check
  48. 396 -

    Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom

    1984, in 11 top lists Check
  49. 694 -

    Spider-Man

    2002, in 7 top lists Check
  50. 536 -

    Wo hu cang long

    2000 — a.k.a. Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, in 27 top lists Check
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Last updated on Jun 12, 2017 by kvib; source